Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Volatile crypto market conditions
AI updated 6/28/2026, 10:46:13 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
51%
Signal Score
+1.0
Opportunity
0.7
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,311,828
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 100.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
As of the current snapshot, the market has a neutral probability (50%) for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) closing above $1,500 at 8PM ET on June 28. The resolution depends on short-term price action within a volatile crypto market environment.
Ethereum could close above $1,500 if macroeconomic conditions improve (e.g., Fed rate cut expectations), institutional demand resumes, or a bullish technical breakout occurs. Strong ETH network activity (e.g., DeFi TVL growth) or regulatory clarity could also drive upward momentum.
Ethereum may fail to surpass $1,500 if macro headwinds persist (e.g., risk-off sentiment, stronger-than-expected Fed hawkishness), or if bearish technical patterns (e.g., rejection at resistance levels) dominate. Regulatory uncertainty or macroeconomic downturns could suppress price.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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