Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Sudden market corrections or downturns
AI updated 6/28/2026, 5:45:27 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
91%
ORYN Consensus
91%
Signal Score
+0.5
Opportunity
0.4
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,200,658
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 50.0¢
Entry: 88-94
—
Resolution
6d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
13 points
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market strongly favors Ethereum (ETH) closing above $1,400 on July 5, with a 90.50% probability. The resolution is based on Binance's ETH/USDT 1-minute candle at 12:00 ET, ensuring precise and exchange-specific pricing.
Ethereum's recent price momentum and strong market sentiment support a bullish outlook. Institutional adoption and potential ETF approvals could drive further upward pressure, pushing the price above $1,400. Technical indicators like moving averages and relative strength also suggest a continuation of the upward trend.
A sudden market correction or regulatory crackdown could reverse Ethereum's recent gains, causing the price to fall below $1,400. Negative macroeconomic data or a broader crypto market downturn could also lead to a decline. Additionally, exchange-specific liquidity issues or technical failures might impact the close price.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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