Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Low liquidity during early morning hours increasing volatility
AI updated 7/2/2026, 5:48:05 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 39% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,717,997
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
20h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Ethereum price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ETH/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/eth-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream ETH/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Ethereum's price movement between 1:35AM and 1:40AM ET on July 3 shows a neutral stance with a 50% probability of either an upward or downward movement. The resolution is based on Chainlink's ETH/USD data stream, ensuring a standardized and verifiable price source.
Ethereum could experience a short-term upward movement due to potential positive sentiment in the crypto market, such as increased institutional interest or favorable macroeconomic conditions during this early morning window. Additionally, if there were any bullish news or announcements released just before the market's timeframe, it could drive prices higher.
Ethereum might decline slightly or remain flat due to typical low liquidity and trading volume during early morning hours, which can amplify price volatility. Negative sentiment or a lack of positive catalysts could also lead to a downward movement, especially in a market sensitive to external shocks.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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