Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Data feed latency or manipulation risk in Chainlink stream
AI updated 7/1/2026, 1:02:31 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 50% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,205,762
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
19h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Ethereum price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ETH/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/eth-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream ETH/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Ethereum's price movement between 8:45PM-8:50PM ET on July 1 shows a neutral 50% probability of 'Up' or 'Down' resolution, indicating no clear directional bias. The outcome depends on real-time Chainlink ETH/USD data within a 5-minute window.
Ethereum could rise if there is a sudden surge in demand, driven by positive sentiment from institutional adoption, regulatory clarity, or a bullish macroeconomic environment. A short-term price spike could also occur due to a whale transaction or a major DeFi protocol update.
Ethereum may decline if macroeconomic headwinds (e.g., Fed policy hawkishness) or negative crypto-specific news (e.g., exchange outages, regulatory crackdowns) dampen investor confidence. A sudden sell-off in broader crypto markets could also drag ETH down.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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