Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Data feed latency or manipulation risk in Chainlink's ETH/USD stream
AI updated 6/29/2026, 11:50:08 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,541,735
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
21h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Ethereum price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ETH/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/eth-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream ETH/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Ethereum (ETH) price movement between 7:35AM and 7:40AM ET on June 30 shows a 50% probability of the price being 'Up' based on Chainlink's ETH/USD data stream. This reflects a neutral outlook with no clear directional bias in the ultra-short timeframe.
A bullish scenario could emerge if there is a sudden surge in buying activity, driven by positive sentiment from macroeconomic data, institutional interest, or a technical breakout above key resistance levels. Short-term momentum or whale activity could also push the price higher.
A bearish outcome could result from profit-taking, negative regulatory news, or a broader market downturn affecting risk assets. Technical indicators showing overbought conditions or a sudden sell-off in correlated markets (e.g., Bitcoin) might also drive the price lower.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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