Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Low liquidity in the 5-minute window leading to volatile price swings
AI updated 6/28/2026, 6:30:58 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,013,945
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
19h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Ethereum price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ETH/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/eth-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream ETH/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The Ethereum price prediction market for June 29, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET shows a 50% probability of 'Up' resolution based on Chainlink's ETH/USD data stream. The market is highly balanced, reflecting equal odds of price increase or decrease within the specified 5-minute window.
The 'Up' scenario could materialize if short-term market sentiment improves, driven by positive macroeconomic data, increased trading volume, or whale movements pushing the ETH/USD price above the initial level. A sudden influx of buy orders or reduced selling pressure could also tilt the market upward.
The 'Down' scenario may unfold if negative sentiment persists, such as profit-taking, regulatory concerns, or broader crypto market downturns that push the ETH/USD price below the initial level. High sell pressure or a sudden drop in liquidity could exacerbate the decline.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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