Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Data stream latency or manipulation risks
AI updated 6/28/2026, 1:45:24 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
51%
ORYN Consensus
51%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,126,062
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 48-54
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
2 points
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Ethereum price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ETH/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/eth-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream ETH/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Ethereum's price movement between 10:00AM-10:05AM ET on June 28 shows a near-even split (50.50%) between 'Up' and 'Down' outcomes, indicating high uncertainty in short-term price direction. The resolution is tied to Chainlink's ETH/USD data stream, minimizing external source discrepancies.
Ethereum could rise if a brief surge in buying volume occurs due to positive macro sentiment, such as favorable U.S. regulatory news or a sudden increase in DeFi activity. A minor uptick in on-chain metrics (e.g., active addresses) could also trigger upward momentum within the 5-minute window.
Ethereum may decline if a sudden sell-off occurs due to negative sentiment, such as a broader crypto market downturn or a flash crash in altcoins. A slight dip in liquidity or a large sell order hitting the Chainlink stream could push the price downward.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
Route to regulated venues when you are ready. ORYN never holds your funds.
ORYN does not hold funds or execute trades. You will be redirected to a third-party regulated venue.
No comments yet.
