Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: liquidity fragmentation
AI updated 6/27/2026, 10:45:52 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
51%
Signal Score
+1.0
Opportunity
0.7
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,101,671
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 100.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
1
Price history
1 points
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Ethereum price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ETH/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/eth-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream ETH/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for Ethereum's price movement between 6:30AM and 6:35AM ET on June 28 is perfectly balanced at 50%, indicating no clear directional bias. The outcome hinges on short-term price volatility within this 5-minute window, with Chainlink's ETH/USD data stream as the sole resolution source.
Ethereum could rise if a sudden influx of buy orders or positive sentiment triggers a quick uptick in price, potentially driven by macroeconomic data releases, whale movements, or short-term technical breakout patterns. The 5-minute window may favor rapid price action from high-frequency trading or algorithmic bots.
Ethereum could decline if selling pressure or profit-taking emerges, particularly if broader market sentiment sours or if a minor negative catalyst (e.g., a sudden liquidation cascade) occurs. The lack of a significant time buffer increases vulnerability to micro-scale price dips.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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