This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 25 12:00 PM ET to June 27, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Key risk: Musk's unpredictable behavior patterns
AI updated 6/27/2026, 8:05:31 AM
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 25 12:00 PM ET to June 27, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Crowd Consensus
0%
ORYN Consensus
1%
Signal Score
+0.6
Opportunity
0.5
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The market implies a very low probability (0.45%) that Elon Musk will post between 90-114 tweets from June 25-27, 2026. Historical data suggests his posting frequency is unlikely to reach this range within a 72-hour window.
Musk may increase activity due to high-profile announcements, product launches, or engagement campaigns. A viral event or policy shift could drive unusually high tweet volume. Past spikes (e.g., Tesla announcements) show potential for elevated posting.
Musk's posting frequency has historically averaged 5-20 tweets/day, with rare spikes exceeding 50. A 90-114 tweet range in 72 hours is unprecedented and would require extraordinary circumstances. His focus on other ventures (e.g., xAI, SpaceX) may reduce X activity.
No comments yet. Be the first to share your forecast thesis.
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026? is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 0.5% while ORYN AI estimates 1%.
ORYN aggregates forecasting intelligence across Asia-focused categories including crypto, AI, cricket, startups, and global events.
