Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: unexpected_roster_changes_or_bench_decisions
AI updated 6/28/2026, 3:30:22 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
60%
ORYN Consensus
60%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,137,924
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 56-62
—
Resolution
3h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower bracket semifinal 1 match between Nigma Galaxy and Yellow Submarine in the The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 28 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Nigma Galaxy" if Nigma Galaxy win the match against Yellow Submarine. This market will resolve to "Yellow Submarine" if Yellow Submarine win the match against Nigma Galaxy. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
Nigma Galaxy holds a slight edge in this BO3 Lower Bracket Semifinal matchup, with a current market probability of 59.50%. The outcome hinges on team form, draft strategies, and in-game execution in a high-stakes qualifier playoff.
Nigma Galaxy's bull case is supported by their consistent top-tier performance in European qualifiers, strong mid-game rotations, and historical dominance against Yellow Submarine in recent head-to-heads. Their ability to adapt to meta shifts and capitalize on opponent mistakes positions them favorably.
Yellow Submarine's bear case relies on Nigma Galaxy's occasional underperformance in high-pressure games and Yellow Submarine's aggressive drafts that exploit early-game advantages. If Nigma Galaxy struggles with their signature strategies, Yellow Submarine could pull off an upset.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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