Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Unexpected player substitutions or roster changes
AI updated 7/2/2026, 2:15:48 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 38% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
68%
ORYN Consensus
68%
Signal Score
-0.5
Opportunity
0.4
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,656,869
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV -50.0¢
Entry: 65-71
—
Resolution
8h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
14 points
This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Nemiga Gaming and Team AION in the European Pro League Group A, initially scheduled for July 2 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Nemiga Gaming" if Nemiga Gaming win Game 1 against Team AION. This market will resolve to "Team AION" if Team AION win Game 1 against Nemiga Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market favors Nemiga Gaming (67.5%) to win Game 1 against Team AION in the European Pro League Group A, reflecting a moderate but clear preference based on current form and historical performance.
Nemiga Gaming's recent performance in the European Pro League shows consistent victories against mid-tier teams, and their drafting phase has been strong with adaptable strategies. Team AION's roster has underperformed in recent matches, with key players showing inconsistency in laning and teamfights.
Team AION could leverage their experience in high-pressure matches, as Nemiga Gaming has occasionally struggled in early-game rotations. External factors like player fatigue or unexpected strategies from Team AION could shift the balance in their favor.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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