Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: match delays or cancellations
AI updated 7/1/2026, 1:01:36 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 50% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,206,887
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
6d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the Dota 2 match between LGD Gaming and Virtus.pro in the Esports World Cup Group D, initially scheduled for July 7 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gaming win the match against Virtus.pro. This market will resolve to "Virtus.pro" if Virtus.pro win the match against LGD Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for LGD Gaming vs Virtus.pro in Dota 2 is evenly split at 50%, reflecting high uncertainty or balanced expectations. No team holds a clear advantage, indicating either evenly matched skill levels or lack of recent performance data.
LGD Gaming could be favored due to recent form, strategic depth, or player-specific advantages like stronger mid-lane or carry roles. A BO2 format also allows for adaptability, potentially overcoming initial setbacks.
Virtus.pro may hold the edge due to historical dominance in head-to-head matchups or superior drafting in BO2 scenarios. External factors like player fatigue or unexpected bans could also disrupt LGD's momentum.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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