Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: unpredictable_hero_picks
Calibrated 100% · raw 4900% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/28/2026, 10:01:17 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
1%
Signal Score
-49.0
Opportunity
36.8
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,076,166
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -4900.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
2h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market is about whether any player achieves a Rampage during Game 3. In Dota 2, a Rampage occurs when a single player kills all 5 enemy heroes in rapid succession without dying. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Rampage during Game 3. This market will resolve to "No" if no player achieves a Rampage. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 3 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 begins but is not completed and ends via forfeit, this market will resolve based on whether a Rampage occurred prior to stoppage. If no Rampage occurred, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 3 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for a Rampage in Game 3 of a Dota 2 match is neutral at 50%, reflecting equal probability due to high unpredictability and rarity of the event. Historical data shows Rampages occur in approximately 1-2% of professional matches.
A Rampage is possible if a dominant player (e.g., carry or midlaner) secures a significant early advantage, enabling a multi-kill streak with high damage output and coordination. Team dynamics favoring aggressive plays or poor enemy positioning could increase likelihood.
Rampages are statistically rare in professional Dota 2 due to defensive coordination, buybacks, and counterplay mechanics. The 50% baseline accounts for the event's low historical frequency and the potential for match control strategies to prevent such outcomes.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
Route to regulated venues when you are ready. ORYN never holds your funds.
ORYN does not hold funds or execute trades. You will be redirected to a third-party regulated venue.
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