Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Data stream latency or discrepancies in Chainlink's DOGE/USD feed
AI updated 6/30/2026, 4:31:35 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 50% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,802,306
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
20h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Dogecoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the DOGE/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/doge-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream DOGE/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The Dogecoin (DOGE/USD) prediction market for July 1, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET shows an even 50% probability of the price being 'Up' or 'Down' within the specified 5-minute window. The resolution depends on Chainlink's DOGE/USD data stream, ensuring a standardized reference point.
A bullish outcome ('Up') could result from short-term speculative buying, positive social media sentiment, or minor positive news influencing traders within the 5-minute window. Given DOGE's historical volatility, even small positive catalysts may trigger upward price movements.
A bearish outcome ('Down') may occur if selling pressure dominates due to negative sentiment, profit-taking, or lack of positive impetus in the ultra-short timeframe. DOGE's price often reacts sharply to market sentiment shifts, which could drive it lower.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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