Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Data stream latency or manipulation risk
AI updated 7/2/2026, 6:00:42 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 39% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,718,007
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
21h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Dogecoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the DOGE/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/doge-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream DOGE/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The Dogecoin price prediction market for July 3, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET shows a 50% probability of an 'Up' resolution based on Chainlink's DOGE/USD data stream, indicating a neutral outlook. The short 15-minute window limits volatility-driven price swings but introduces sensitivity to micro-trends.
A bullish resolution could occur if speculative trading or a sudden positive sentiment surge (e.g., Elon Musk tweet) drives DOGE price above the starting value. Low liquidity in this narrow timeframe may amplify upward movements from minor buy pressure.
A bearish resolution is possible if profit-taking or negative macro sentiment (e.g., broader crypto market downturn) pushes DOGE below the starting price. The absence of major catalysts in a 15-minute window increases the risk of a flat or downward move due to routine trading.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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