Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Data stream manipulation or latency issues in Chainlink
AI updated 7/1/2026, 5:01:55 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 41% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,490,802
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
20h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Dogecoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the DOGE/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/doge-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream DOGE/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The Dogecoin price prediction market for July 2, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET shows an equal 50% probability of the price being higher or lower at resolution compared to the start of the time window. This reflects high uncertainty given Dogecoin's volatile trading patterns.
Dogecoin could surge during the 15-minute window due to a sudden surge in retail investor activity, positive social media sentiment, or a minor Elon Musk tweet influencing price momentum. Chainlink's DOGE/USD data stream may reflect a brief upward spike if spot markets react strongly.
Dogecoin may decline if broader crypto sentiment sours, regulatory headlines emerge, or a coordinated sell-off occurs in the final minutes of the window. The price could drop below the starting point if Chainlink's data stream lags behind spot market declines.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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