Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Data feed reliability from Chainlink during the resolution window
AI updated 6/28/2026, 11:30:41 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,310,333
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
20h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Dogecoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the DOGE/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/doge-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream DOGE/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Dogecoin price movement between 7:15PM and 7:30PM ET on June 29 shows a 50% probability of an 'Up' resolution, indicating no clear bias. The outcome hinges on real-time Chainlink DOGE/USD data, with minimal timeframe volatility expected.
Dogecoin could rise if short-term sentiment improves due to minor positive news, speculative trading activity, or technical momentum in the 15-minute window. High-frequency trading or algorithmic bots may briefly push prices up, aligning with the 50% probability.
Dogecoin could decline if negative micro-sentiment emerges, such as a sudden sell-off or lack of buying pressure in the 15-minute window. Chainlink data lags or minor corrections in broader crypto markets could also trigger a 'Down' resolution.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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