Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Highly concentrated probability (99.5%) indicating potential mispricing
AI updated 6/28/2026, 6:30:34 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
100%
ORYN Consensus
100%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,014,275
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 96-100
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Dogecoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the DOGE/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/doge-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream DOGE/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Dogecoin (DOGE/USD) shows an overwhelming 99.5% probability of the price being 'Up' between 2:15AM-2:30AM ET on June 28. This near-certainty suggests a strong consensus on short-term price appreciation.
The bullish sentiment likely stems from recent market momentum, speculative trading behavior, or potential external catalysts (e.g., Elon Musk tweets, crypto market rallies). The high probability may reflect traders' expectations of a sudden price surge within the narrow time window.
A 'Down' resolution could occur due to extreme volatility, a sudden negative news event, or a flash crash in crypto markets. The 0.5% implied probability suggests minimal expectation of such an outcome, but systemic risks (e.g., liquidity issues) could trigger a surprise.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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