Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match forfeit or cancellation before Map 1 completion
AI updated 7/1/2026, 1:45:59 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 46% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,426,096
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
2h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Wampirki and Julie&cie in the CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 1 at 9:45AM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 1 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 1 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "Wampirki" if Wampirki wins Map 1 by 4 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. Wampirki's round total on Map 1 exceeds Julie&cie's by 4 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Julie&cie". Map 1 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 1 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 1 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 1 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market reflects a 50% probability that Wampirki will win Map 1 by 4 or more rounds against Julie&cie, with resolution dependent on exact round differentials. The handicap (-3.5) creates a narrow path for Wampirki to meet the 4+ round requirement, making this a high-variance bet.
Wampirki's strong early-round performance or superior team coordination could push them to a dominant Map 1 victory, exceeding the 4-round margin. If Julie&cie struggles with map control or executes poorly, Wampirki's odds improve significantly.
Julie&cie's defensive stability or late-game comebacks could prevent Wampirki from securing the required 4-round margin, even if they win the map. Overtime scenarios or high-pressure situations may favor Julie&cie, reducing Wampirki's chances.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
No direct venue links for this market. ORYN exclusive markets are intelligence-only.
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