Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: event_cancellation_or_delay
Calibrated 100% · raw 975% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/29/2026, 2:45:45 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
10%
ORYN Consensus
0%
Signal Score
-9.8
Opportunity
9.3
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,387,432
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -975.0¢
Entry: 7-13
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
15 points
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between UNO MILLE and ShindeN in the Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #1 Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 28 at 8:00PM ET. This market is decided solely by the total number of rounds played within Map 3 of this match (the combined round score of both teams on that single map), and is independent of which team wins Map 3 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "Over" if the combined number of rounds played by both teams on Map 3, including any overtime, is greater than 21.5. This market will resolve to "Under" if the combined number of rounds played is less than 21.5. If the combined number of rounds played is exactly 21.5, this market will resolve 50-50. Map 3 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to "Over" or "Under". If Map 3 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round total regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 3 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 3 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market predicts a low probability (0.25%) that the total rounds played in Map 3 of the UNO MILLE vs. ShindeN match will exceed 21.5, indicating strong expectation of a shorter match. This aligns with typical Counter-Strike map durations, where most maps conclude under 21.5 rounds.
A bullish outcome (Over 21.5 rounds) could occur if the match enters overtime due to a tied score (20-20) or if the teams engage in prolonged side wins (e.g., 22-20 or similar). High-scoring maps or defensive stalemates may also extend round counts.
A bearish outcome (Under 21.5 rounds) is likely if one team dominates early, securing a lopsided score (e.g., 16-4) or if the map concludes quickly due to a technical issue or player forfeit. Most CS:GO maps resolve under 30 rounds, with shorter games favoring the 'Under' outcome.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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