Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Map 2 not being played to completion (forfeit, disqualification, or cancellation)
AI updated 6/29/2026, 1:46:48 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,351,668
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
1h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between ShindeN and UNO MILLE in the Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #1 Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 28 at 8:00PM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 2 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 2 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "ShindeN" if ShindeN wins Map 2 by 13 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. ShindeN's round total on Map 2 exceeds UNO MILLE's by 13 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "UNO MILLE". Map 2 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 2 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 2 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 2 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for Map 2 Round Score Handicap: ShindeN (-12.5) vs UNO MILLE (+12.5) is evenly split at 50%, reflecting uncertainty due to the high handicap margin required for ShindeN to win this market. The outcome depends on the round differential in Map 2, not the match winner.
ShindeN could win this market if they dominate Map 2, winning by 13 or more rounds, including overtime. This would require a significant performance gap, suggesting ShindeN's tactical or mechanical superiority in the series.
UNO MILLE is favored in this market as ShindeN would need an exceptionally large round margin to win. A competitive or close Map 2 would resolve to UNO MILLE, indicating parity or slight UNO MILLE advantage in this specific map.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
Route to regulated venues when you are ready. ORYN never holds your funds.
ORYN does not hold funds or execute trades. You will be redirected to a third-party regulated venue.
No comments yet.