Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match disruption (forfeit, disqualification, or cancellation)
AI updated 6/28/2026, 2:16:41 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,127,512
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
2h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between ECHO and Sharks in the Super DraculaN Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 28 at 9:30AM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 1 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 1 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "ECHO" if ECHO wins Map 1 by 4 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. ECHO's round total on Map 1 exceeds Sharks's by 4 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Sharks". Map 1 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 1 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 1 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 1 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for ECHO (-3.5) vs Sharks (+3.5) in Map 1 rounds handicap of the Super DraculaN Playoffs Counter-Strike match is evenly split at 50%, reflecting uncertainty due to the handicap requiring a 4-round differential for resolution. The outcome hinges on Map 1's round-by-round progression, independent of match result.
ECHO could win this handicap if they dominate early rounds, securing a 4-round lead before Map 1 concludes. A strong start, particularly in pistol or eco rounds, would favor ECHO's ability to build an insurmountable advantage. If ECHO maintains consistent aggression and map control, the probability of resolving to 'ECHO' increases.
Sharks could win this handicap if ECHO fails to secure a 4-round lead, even if they win Map 1. A close or fluctuating round-by-round score would favor Sharks, as the handicap requires a significant margin. If ECHO struggles with economy or executes poorly in key rounds, the market may resolve to 'Sharks' despite a potential Map 1 victory.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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