Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: unexpected_map_completion_issues
Calibrated 100% · raw 4005% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/28/2026, 11:16:06 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
10%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
+40.0
Opportunity
34.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,311,078
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 4005.0¢
Entry: 7-13
—
Resolution
0h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
9 points
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between ShindeN and largadosypelados in the Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #1 Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 28 at 5:30PM ET. This market is decided solely by the total number of rounds played within Map 2 of this match (the combined round score of both teams on that single map), and is independent of which team wins Map 2 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "Over" if the combined number of rounds played by both teams on Map 2, including any overtime, is greater than 24.5. This market will resolve to "Under" if the combined number of rounds played is less than 24.5. If the combined number of rounds played is exactly 24.5, this market will resolve 50-50. Map 2 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to "Over" or "Under". If Map 2 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round total regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 2 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 2 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market predicts a 50% probability that the total rounds played in Map 2 of the ShindeN vs. largadosypelados match will exceed 24.5. The outcome depends entirely on the combined round count of both teams on this single map, with no influence from match or series results.
A bullish outcome would see Map 2 exceed 24.5 rounds, likely due to a closely contested match with multiple overtime periods. High player engagement, balanced skill levels, or tactical depth could prolong the map, favoring an 'Over' resolution.
A bearish outcome would see Map 2 resolve under 24.5 rounds, possibly due to a dominant team steamrolling the opponent or a quick tactical decision. Early game-ending strategies or technical issues could truncate the map, favoring an 'Under' resolution.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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