Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: match_cancellation
AI updated 6/28/2026, 10:30:49 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
0%
ORYN Consensus
0%
Signal Score
-0.2
Opportunity
0.2
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,311,108
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -20.0¢
Entry: 0-3
—
Resolution
0h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
8 points
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between ShindeN and largadosypelados in the Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #1 Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 28 at 5:30PM ET. This market is decided solely by the total number of rounds played within Map 1 of this match (the combined round score of both teams on that single map), and is independent of which team wins Map 1 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "Over" if the combined number of rounds played by both teams on Map 1, including any overtime, is greater than 24.5. This market will resolve to "Under" if the combined number of rounds played is less than 24.5. If the combined number of rounds played is exactly 24.5, this market will resolve 50-50. Map 1 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to "Over" or "Under". If Map 1 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round total regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 1 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 1 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for 'Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5' in the ShindeN vs. largadosypelados CS2 match has an extremely low probability (0.05%), indicating near-certainty in the 'Under' outcome. The structural dynamics of CS2 maps, particularly at high-stakes tournaments, favor shorter round totals due to competitive play and time constraints.
A bullish outcome (Over 24.5) could occur if the match features high-level play with frequent round wins by both teams, extended overtime, or strategic time-buying tactics. Unpredictable player performances or a series of close fights might push the round total beyond 24.5, especially in a best-of-1 map.
The bearish outcome (Under 24.5) is far more likely given CS2's standard map structure (e.g., Dust 2, Mirage) where competitive matches often conclude within 20-25 rounds. Teams at this level typically avoid excessive overtime, favoring decisive victories to conserve resources.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
Route to regulated venues when you are ready. ORYN never holds your funds.
ORYN does not hold funds or execute trades. You will be redirected to a third-party regulated venue.
No comments yet.