Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Unexpected player absences or substitutions
AI updated 6/28/2026, 10:30:43 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
100%
ORYN Consensus
100%
Signal Score
+0.5
Opportunity
0.4
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,312,163
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 45.0¢
Entry: 96-100
—
Resolution
0h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
8 points
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between ShindeN and largadosypelados in the Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #1 Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 28 at 5:30PM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 1 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 1 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "ShindeN" if ShindeN wins Map 1 by 4 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. ShindeN's round total on Map 1 exceeds largadosypelados's by 4 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "largadosypelados". Map 1 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 1 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 1 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 1 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market strongly favors ShindeN (-3.5) to win Map 1 by 4 or more rounds, with a 99.95% probability. This reflects near-certainty in prediction markets, likely due to ShindeN's perceived dominance or historical performance in similar matchups.
ShindeN is expected to dominate Map 1 due to superior team synergy, stronger individual player performance, or tactical advantages like map control and economy management. A win by 4+ rounds aligns with their recent form and head-to-head trends against largadosypelados.
A bearish outcome would require largadosypelados to outperform expectations, possibly due to unexpected strategies, underdog performance, or external factors like player fatigue. However, this scenario is highly unlikely given the overwhelming market probability.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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