This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between shimmer and MIBR fe in the Rainhas do Clutch FERJEE Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 26 at 2:00PM ET. This market is decided solely by the total number of rounds played within Map 4 of this match (the combined round score of both teams on that single map), and is independent of which team wins Map 4 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "Over" if the combined number of rounds played by both teams on Map 4, including any overtime, is greater than 24.5. This market will resolve to "Under" if the combined number of rounds played is less than 24.5. If the combined number of rounds played is exactly 24.5, this market will resolve 50-50. Map 4 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to "Over" or "Under". If Map 4 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round total regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 4 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 4 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Key risk: match_completion_uncertainty
AI updated 6/26/2026, 10:02:27 PM
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between shimmer and MIBR fe in the Rainhas do Clutch FERJEE Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 26 at 2:00PM ET. This market is decided solely by the total number of rounds played within Map 4 of this match (the combined round score of both teams on that single map), and is independent of which team wins Map 4 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "Over" if the combined number of rounds played by both teams on Map 4, including any overtime, is greater than 24.5. This market will resolve to "Under" if the combined number of rounds played is less than 24.5. If the combined number of rounds played is exactly 24.5, this market will resolve 50-50. Map 4 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to "Over" or "Under". If Map 4 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round total regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 4 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 4 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The market for Map 4 total rounds Over/Under 24.5 in the shimmer vs. MIBR fe match is currently at 50%, indicating a balanced expectation with no clear directional bias. The market hinges on the total rounds played on Map 4, excluding match outcomes or subsequent events.
A bullish scenario would involve high-intensity gameplay with frequent rounds, such as a close matchup where both teams trade rounds aggressively, leading to 25+ total rounds. Overtime scenarios or defensive stalemates could also push the total rounds above 24.5.
A bearish scenario would see a one-sided match with rapid eliminations or a dominant team securing early victories, resulting in fewer than 24 rounds played. Quick map completions due to overwhelming skill disparity or tactical dominance could drive the total below 24.5.
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Map 4 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 50% while ORYN AI estimates 50%.
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