Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: unexpected_map_termination_or_forfeit
AI updated 7/1/2026, 10:15:48 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 45% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,346,438
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
1h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between SAW and WBT in the European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group D, initially scheduled for July 1 at 4:00AM ET. This market is decided solely by the total number of rounds played within Map 3 of this match (the combined round score of both teams on that single map), and is independent of which team wins Map 3 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "Over" if the combined number of rounds played by both teams on Map 3, including any overtime, is greater than 18.5. This market will resolve to "Under" if the combined number of rounds played is less than 18.5. If the combined number of rounds played is exactly 18.5, this market will resolve 50-50. Map 3 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to "Over" or "Under". If Map 3 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round total regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 3 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 3 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The Counter-Strike Map 3 Total Rounds Over/Under 18.5 market is currently balanced at 50%, reflecting uncertainty in the expected round total for the SAW vs. WBT match. The outcome depends on the combined rounds played in Map 3, with a 50-50 resolution if Map 3 is not completed, canceled, or delayed.
A bullish outcome (Over 18.5) is supported by high-scoring Counter-Strike maps, where teams often exceed 30 rounds due to competitive play and overtime scenarios. If SAW and WBT engage in prolonged firefights or multiple overtimes, the total rounds could easily surpass 18.5.
A bearish outcome (Under 18.5) may occur if the match is decided quickly, with one team dominating early to force a 16-0 or 16-1 victory. Alternatively, technical issues or player fatigue could shorten the map. If Map 3 ends 16-2 or lower, the total rounds would fall below 18.5.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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