Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Map 3 not played to completion
AI updated 7/1/2026, 10:15:42 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 45% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,347,128
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
1h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between WBT and SAW in the European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group D, initially scheduled for July 1 at 4:00AM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 3 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 3 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "WBT" if WBT wins Map 3 by 10 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. WBT's round total on Map 3 exceeds SAW's by 10 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "SAW". Map 3 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 3 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 3 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 3 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for Map 3 round handicap (WBT -9.5 vs SAW +9.5) is evenly split at 50%, reflecting high uncertainty due to the handicap's strict resolution criteria (10+ round differential). The outcome hinges on Map 3's completion and round score, independent of match or map results.
WBT wins Map 3 by 10+ rounds, triggering the market to resolve to 'WBT'. This could occur if WBT's roster performs exceptionally well in early rounds, capitalizing on SAW's weaknesses or tactical errors, or if SAW's defense collapses under pressure.
SAW meets or exceeds the handicap, resolving the market to 'SAW' (or 50-50 if Map 3 is not completed properly). SAW could dominate rounds via superior aim, map control, or clutch plays, or WBT might struggle with coordination or individual errors.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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