Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Map 1 not played to completion (forfeit, disqualification, or technical issues)
AI updated 6/28/2026, 4:45:42 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,168,484
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
2d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between WBT and SAW in the European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group D, initially scheduled for July 1 at 4:00AM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 1 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 1 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "WBT" if WBT wins Map 1 by 4 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. WBT's round total on Map 1 exceeds SAW's by 4 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "SAW". Map 1 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 1 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 1 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 1 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Map 1 Rounds Handicap between WBT (-3.5) and SAW (+3.5) is currently at 50.00%, indicating no clear favorite. The market is highly dependent on the exact round differential in Map 1, with strict resolution criteria based on round totals.
WBT wins Map 1 by 4 or more rounds, including overtime, which would resolve the market in their favor. This could occur if WBT's stronger early-game or late-game execution aligns with a dominant performance in Map 1.
SAW either wins Map 1 or loses by fewer than 4 rounds, resulting in a SAW resolution. This could happen if SAW's tactical adjustments or clutch performances neutralize WBT's advantage, or if WBT underperforms in critical rounds.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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