Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: unexpected_player_availability_or_health
Calibrated 100% · raw 4945% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/26/2026, 8:00:37 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 22% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
0%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
+49.5
Opportunity
32.1
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 4945.0¢
Entry: 0-3
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
10
Price history
20 points
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between roamsfiest and train launcher in the Svenska CS-Ligan Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 26 at 12:48PM ET. This market will resolve to "roamsfiest" if roamsfiest win the match against train launcher. This market will resolve to "train launcher" if train launcher win the match against roamsfiest. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
This Counter-Strike: Global Offensive (CS:GO) playoff match between roamsfiest and train launcher is highly balanced, with neither team holding a clear edge in the prediction market. The 49.50% probability suggests a near-even split in market expectations, reflecting uncertainty or similar perceived skill levels between the competitors.
roamsfiest may be favored due to recent form, strategic depth, or player performance trends in the Svenska CS-Ligan Playoffs. A win could solidify their position in the upper bracket and boost confidence for future matches. Historical head-to-head data or map pool advantages might also favor roamsfiest.
train launcher could emerge victorious if they exploit map control, execute superior team coordination, or leverage individual player brilliance. A win would signal a strong underdog performance and potentially shift momentum in their favor for the playoffs. Recent upsets in similar contexts may also support this outcome.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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