Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Map 2 not being played to completion (forfeit, default, or cancellation)
AI updated 6/30/2026, 12:50:05 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 47% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,967,612
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
0h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Prestige and Millennium Esports in the United21 Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 30 at 7:00AM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 2 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 2 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "Prestige" if Prestige wins Map 2 by 10 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. Prestige's round total on Map 2 exceeds Millennium Esports's by 10 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Millennium Esports". Map 2 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 2 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 2 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 2 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for Map 2 handicap (Prestige -9.5 vs Millennium Esports +9.5) is currently at a 50% probability, indicating no clear favorite. The outcome depends entirely on the round differential in Map 2, with Prestige needing to win by 10+ rounds to resolve positively.
Prestige could dominate Map 2 due to superior team chemistry, better map pool execution, or Millennium Esports underperforming in early rounds. A strong start or momentum shift could push Prestige to a 10+ round lead, making this market resolve favorably.
Millennium Esports may outperform in Map 2 due to tactical adjustments, individual player brilliance, or Prestige's inconsistency. If the match remains close or Millennium wins by a small margin, the market resolves to Millennium Esports, capping the probability at 50%.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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