Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: unexpected_player_substitutions
AI updated 7/1/2026, 7:47:08 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 50% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,293,460
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
18h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 3 match between paiN Academy and Guara Esports in the CCT South America Series 3 Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 1 at 6:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "paiN Academy" if paiN Academy win the match against Guara Esports. This market will resolve to "Guara Esports" if Guara Esports win the match against paiN Academy. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market is evenly balanced between paiN Academy and Guara Esports, with no clear favorite in the BO3 matchup. The 50% probability reflects the lack of decisive pre-match indicators favoring either side.
paiN Academy could win due to stronger recent form, better map pool execution, or Guara Esports' potential weaknesses in clutch situations. A dominant performance in the first map could set the tone for the series.
Guara Esports might prevail if they exploit paiN Academy's vulnerabilities in team economy or individual player inconsistencies. A reverse sweep scenario could unfold if Guara adapts mid-series.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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