Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Map 2 not reaching a conclusive round score (forfeit/default)
AI updated 7/1/2026, 7:47:29 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 50% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,294,620
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
17h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between paiN Academy and Guara Esports in the CCT South America Series 3 Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 1 at 6:00PM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 2 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 2 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "paiN Academy" if paiN Academy wins Map 2 by 4 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. paiN Academy's round total on Map 2 exceeds Guara Esports's by 4 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Guara Esports". Map 2 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 2 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 2 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 2 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market is evenly split between paiN Academy (-3.5) and Guara Esports (+3.5) for Map 2 round handicap, reflecting no clear favorite. The 50% probability indicates high uncertainty due to the handicap's strict resolution criteria (4+ round differential).
paiN Academy could dominate Map 2 if they secure early control, leverage superior individual performances, or exploit Guara Esports' vulnerabilities in map-specific strategies. A strong start or mid-game surge might push them beyond the +3.5 handicap threshold.
Guara Esports may neutralize paiN Academy's advantage by playing conservatively or counter-strategizing effectively, preventing a 4+ round differential. Their experience in South American regional play could mitigate paiN's aggression.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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