Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match forfeit or incomplete Map 1 resolution
AI updated 7/1/2026, 7:47:24 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 50% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,294,252
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
18h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between paiN Academy and Guara Esports in the CCT South America Series 3 Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 1 at 6:00PM ET. This market is decided solely by the total number of rounds played within Map 1 of this match (the combined round score of both teams on that single map), and is independent of which team wins Map 1 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "Over" if the combined number of rounds played by both teams on Map 1, including any overtime, is greater than 21.5. This market will resolve to "Under" if the combined number of rounds played is less than 21.5. If the combined number of rounds played is exactly 21.5, this market will resolve 50-50. Map 1 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to "Over" or "Under". If Map 1 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round total regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 1 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 1 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for 'Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5' is currently at 50.00%, indicating no clear bias toward over or under 21.5 rounds. The even probability reflects uncertainty due to the balanced risk of high-scoring or low-scoring outcomes in a CS:GO match.
A bullish scenario would involve both teams playing aggressively, leading to a high total round count (e.g., 23+ rounds). Factors such as prolonged overtime, late-game comebacks, or high kill-to-death ratios could push the total rounds above 21.5.
A bearish scenario would involve one team dominating the match, leading to a low total round count (e.g., 20 or fewer rounds). Quick rounds, early eliminations, or a team securing a rapid series of rounds could result in a total below 21.5.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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