Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: match_cancellation_or_delay
AI updated 7/1/2026, 7:47:03 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 50% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,293,550
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
16h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 3 match between paiN Academy and Guara Esports in the CCT South America Series 3 Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 1 at 6:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "paiN Academy" if paiN Academy win Map 1 against Guara Esports. This market will resolve to "Guara Esports" if Guara Esports win Map 1 against paiN Academy. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for Map 1 winner between paiN Academy and Guara Esports is evenly balanced at 50%, reflecting high uncertainty or potential parity in performance. No significant advantage is observed for either side based on current data.
paiN Academy could win Map 1 if they leverage superior team chemistry, individual skill, or strategic adaptability against Guara Esports. A strong early-round performance or map control dominance may tilt odds in their favor. Historical data or recent form (if available) may also support this outcome.
Guara Esports may prevail if they exploit paiN Academy's weaknesses, such as inconsistent execution or tactical rigidity. A strong defensive play or superior utility usage could secure their victory. External factors like player fatigue or unexpected strategies may also favor Guara.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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