Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match forfeit or Map 2 cancellation leading to 50-50 resolution
Calibrated 100% · raw 4995% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/28/2026, 8:15:53 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
0%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
+50.0
Opportunity
37.5
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,240,196
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 4995.0¢
Entry: 0-3
—
Resolution
2h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
10 points
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between METANOIA WOLVES and Guara Esports in the CCT South America Series 3 Group Stage, initially scheduled for June 28 at 3:00PM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 2 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 2 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "METANOIA WOLVES" if METANOIA WOLVES wins Map 2 by 10 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. METANOIA WOLVES's round total on Map 2 exceeds Guara Esports's by 10 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Guara Esports". Map 2 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 2 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 2 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 2 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for Map 2 Round Handicap in the METANOIA WOLVES vs Guara Esports match is evenly split at 50%, reflecting no clear favorite under the handicap conditions. The outcome hinges on METANOIA WOLVES winning Map 2 by 10+ rounds, a scenario with equal odds given current form and head-to-head dynamics.
METANOIA WOLVES could dominate Map 2 due to superior team synergy, recent performance, or tactical adjustments favoring a high-margin victory. A strong early economy, consistent executes, or Guara Esports's fatigue may push METANOIA WOLVES to exceed the +9.5 handicap.
Guara Esports may outperform expectations, leveraging map control, clutch plays, or METANOIA WOLVES's potential vulnerabilities in late-game scenarios. A narrow victory for METANOIA WOLVES (e.g., 16-14) would default to Guara Esports, skewing the market toward the underdog.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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