Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Overtime scenarios reducing the likelihood of a 7-round gap
AI updated 6/28/2026, 7:46:14 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,240,196
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
2h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between METANOIA WOLVES and Guara Esports in the CCT South America Series 3 Group Stage, initially scheduled for June 28 at 3:00PM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 1 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 1 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "METANOIA WOLVES" if METANOIA WOLVES wins Map 1 by 7 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. METANOIA WOLVES's round total on Map 1 exceeds Guara Esports's by 7 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Guara Esports". Map 1 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 1 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 1 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 1 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for Map 1 Rounds Handicap in the METANOIA WOLVES vs Guara Esports match is evenly split, with no clear favorite due to the handicap threshold requiring a 7-round differential. The outcome depends entirely on the round-by-round performance in Map 1, independent of match result.
METANOIA WOLVES could dominate early, securing a 7+ round lead in Map 1 through superior strategy or individual performance, particularly if they exploit Guara Esports's weaknesses in early-round defense or economy. A strong start in pistol rounds or early buys could set the tone for a lopsided victory.
Guara Esports might counter METANOIA WOLVES' aggression with adaptive strategies, such as late-round executes or eco-round wins, preventing the 7-round gap. Alternatively, METANOIA WOLVES could struggle with map control or team synergy, leading to a narrow or overtime-decided Map 1 that fails to meet the handicap threshold.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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