Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Map 1 cancellation or incomplete play
AI updated 6/28/2026, 7:46:21 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
+0.5
Opportunity
0.3
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,240,556
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 50.0¢
Entry: 46-52
—
Resolution
2h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
3 points
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between METANOIA WOLVES and Guara Esports in the CCT South America Series 3 Group Stage, initially scheduled for June 28 at 3:00PM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 1 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 1 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "METANOIA WOLVES" if METANOIA WOLVES wins Map 1 by 13 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. METANOIA WOLVES's round total on Map 1 exceeds Guara Esports's by 13 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Guara Esports". Map 1 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 1 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 1 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 1 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market is evenly split between METANOIA WOLVES (-12.5) and Guara Esports (+12.5) for Map 1 rounds handicap in their CS2 match, reflecting no clear favorite given the handicap threshold. The 50% probability suggests high uncertainty due to the extreme round differential requirement.
METANOIA WOLVES could dominate Map 1 with a lopsided round score (13+ rounds), leveraging superior teamwork, map control, or opponent vulnerabilities in early rounds. A strong economy, aggressive executes, or Guara Esports's potential early-game mistakes could push this outcome.
Guara Esports may prevent METANOIA WOLVES from reaching the required 13-round margin, either by winning Map 1 outright or keeping the score within 12 rounds. Consistency, late-game comebacks, or METANOIA WOLVES's fatigue could limit their margin.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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