Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Unpredictable overtime outcomes
Calibrated 100% · raw 4945% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/28/2026, 11:45:35 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
0%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
+49.5
Opportunity
32.1
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,311,443
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 4945.0¢
Entry: 0-3
—
Resolution
1h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
9 points
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Patins da Ferrari and MIBR Academy in the CCT South America Series 3 Group Stage, initially scheduled for June 28 at 6:00PM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 2 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 2 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "Patins da Ferrari" if Patins da Ferrari wins Map 2 by 7 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. Patins da Ferrari's round total on Map 2 exceeds MIBR Academy's by 7 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "MIBR Academy". Map 2 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 2 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 2 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 2 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for Map 2 Rounds Handicap between Patins da Ferrari (-6.5) and MIBR Academy (+6.5) is nearly balanced, with Patins da Ferrari holding a slight edge at 49.50%. Resolution hinges on Patins da Ferrari winning Map 2 by 7+ rounds, making it a high-risk, high-reward scenario.
Patins da Ferrari's bull case relies on their ability to dominate Map 2 with a margin of 7+ rounds, leveraging strong team synergy, map control, and individual skill. If they secure early round wins and maintain pressure, the handicap could be achieved even with late-game comebacks.
MIBR Academy's bear case centers on Patins da Ferrari failing to reach the required 7-round margin, either due to MIBR's defensive play or Patins' inconsistent execution. If Map 2 ends in a close score or overtime, the market resolves to MIBR Academy, favoring the handicap.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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