Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Resolution ambiguity due to incomplete map play
AI updated 6/28/2026, 10:16:05 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,311,828
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
1h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Patins da Ferrari and MIBR Academy in the CCT South America Series 3 Group Stage, initially scheduled for June 28 at 6:00PM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 1 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 1 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "Patins da Ferrari" if Patins da Ferrari wins Map 1 by 7 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. Patins da Ferrari's round total on Map 1 exceeds MIBR Academy's by 7 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "MIBR Academy". Map 1 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 1 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 1 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 1 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market is evenly split with a 50% probability for either team to win Map 1 by 7+ rounds, reflecting uncertainty due to handicap mechanics and potential resolution ambiguities. The handicap (-6.5) implies Patins da Ferrari must dominate decisively, while MIBR Academy benefits from any non-conclusive outcome.
Patins da Ferrari wins Map 1 by 7+ rounds due to superior team performance, map control, or opponent fatigue, leveraging their handicap advantage. High individual player form or strategic execution could push them past the threshold.
MIBR Academy avoids a 7+ round loss by either losing by fewer rounds, forcing overtime, or having the map incomplete/invalidated (e.g., forfeit, disqualification, or unresolved rounds). External factors like technical issues or player absences could disrupt Patins da Ferrari's dominance.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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