Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match forfeiture or cancellation (resolves 50-50)
Calibrated 100% · raw 4945% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/30/2026, 12:16:01 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 50% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
100%
ORYN Consensus
51%
Signal Score
-49.5
Opportunity
32.1
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,746,848
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -4945.0¢
Entry: 97-100
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
9 points
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between MIBR Academy and Procyon Gaming in the CCT South America Series 3 Group Stage, initially scheduled for June 29 at 6:00PM ET. This market is decided solely by the total number of rounds played within Map 2 of this match (the combined round score of both teams on that single map), and is independent of which team wins Map 2 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "Over" if the combined number of rounds played by both teams on Map 2, including any overtime, is greater than 18.5. This market will resolve to "Under" if the combined number of rounds played is less than 18.5. If the combined number of rounds played is exactly 18.5, this market will resolve 50-50. Map 2 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to "Over" or "Under". If Map 2 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round total regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 2 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 2 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
This prediction market assesses whether the total rounds played in Map 2 of the MIBR Academy vs. Procyon Gaming match will exceed 18.5. The current probability is near neutral at 50.50%, indicating high uncertainty or balanced expectations.
A bull case would involve high-scoring teams with aggressive strategies, leading to prolonged rounds or multiple overtimes, pushing the total rounds above 18.5. Teams with strong gunplay and consistent round wins could extend playtime.
A bear case would involve low-scoring teams with defensive strategies, resulting in fewer rounds played. Quick round victories or early match conclusion could keep the total rounds below 18.5.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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