Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Map 2 not being played to completion (e.g., forfeit, disqualification, or technical issues)
Calibrated 100% · raw 5195% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/30/2026, 12:16:11 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 50% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
0%
ORYN Consensus
52%
Signal Score
+52.0
Opportunity
33.8
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,748,613
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 5195.0¢
Entry: 0-3
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
9 points
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Procyon Gaming and MIBR Academy in the CCT South America Series 3 Group Stage, initially scheduled for June 29 at 6:00PM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 2 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 2 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "Procyon Gaming" if Procyon Gaming wins Map 2 by 13 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. Procyon Gaming's round total on Map 2 exceeds MIBR Academy's by 13 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "MIBR Academy". Map 2 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 2 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 2 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 2 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Map 2 Rounds Handicap between Procyon Gaming (-12.5) and MIBR Academy (+12.5) is highly balanced, with a near-even market probability of 49.50%. The outcome hinges on Procyon Gaming winning Map 2 by 13 or more rounds, a challenging but not impossible threshold.
Procyon Gaming could dominate Map 2 if they maintain superior teamwork, execute strategies effectively, or exploit MIBR Academy's weaknesses early. A strong start or map control could push their round total beyond the required margin. Historical performance or recent form may also favor Procyon Gaming in high-pressure scenarios.
MIBR Academy might prevent Procyon Gaming from reaching the 13-round margin by playing defensively, capitalizing on counter-attacks, or leveraging individual skill differences. MIBR Academy's experience in close matches or ability to grind out rounds could neutralize Procyon Gaming's advantage.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
No direct venue links for this market. ORYN exclusive markets are intelligence-only.
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