Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: early_map_conclusion
AI updated 6/29/2026, 6:16:02 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,470,088
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
17h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between MIBR Academy and Procyon Gaming in the CCT South America Series 3 Group Stage, initially scheduled for June 29 at 6:00PM ET. This market is decided solely by the total number of rounds played within Map 1 of this match (the combined round score of both teams on that single map), and is independent of which team wins Map 1 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "Over" if the combined number of rounds played by both teams on Map 1, including any overtime, is greater than 21.5. This market will resolve to "Under" if the combined number of rounds played is less than 21.5. If the combined number of rounds played is exactly 21.5, this market will resolve 50-50. Map 1 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to "Over" or "Under". If Map 1 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round total regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 1 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 1 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for Map 1 total rounds in MIBR Academy vs. Procyon Gaming is evenly split at 50%, reflecting uncertainty due to the neutral threshold (21.5 rounds) and potential variability in match dynamics. Historical CS:GO match data suggests a slight lean toward higher round totals, but this is offset by the risk of early map conclusion or non-resolution.
A bullish outcome (Over 21.5 rounds) is supported by CS:GO's typical high-round maps, where 22+ rounds are common in competitive matches. Teams with balanced skill levels or strategic slow starts (e.g., pistol rounds, eco rounds) may extend the map duration. If the match is closely contested, overtime scenarios become plausible, pushing the total rounds higher.
A bearish outcome (Under 21.5 rounds) is plausible if one team dominates early, leading to a swift 16-0 or 16-4 scoreline, which would cap the total rounds at 20. Early forfeits or technical issues could also truncate the map, though these are less likely in a scheduled competitive match. Historical data shows ~30% of professional CS:GO maps end in 21 or fewer rounds.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
No direct venue links for this market. ORYN exclusive markets are intelligence-only.
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