Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: non_completion_risk
AI updated 6/28/2026, 1:00:55 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,107,261
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
1h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between ex-MANA eSports and Subtop De France in the European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group A, initially scheduled for June 28 at 7:00AM ET. This market is decided solely by the total number of rounds played within Map 3 of this match (the combined round score of both teams on that single map), and is independent of which team wins Map 3 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "Over" if the combined number of rounds played by both teams on Map 3, including any overtime, is greater than 24.5. This market will resolve to "Under" if the combined number of rounds played is less than 24.5. If the combined number of rounds played is exactly 24.5, this market will resolve 50-50. Map 3 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to "Over" or "Under". If Map 3 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round total regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 3 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 3 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Map 3 Total Rounds Over/Under 24.5 is currently at a 50% probability, reflecting a neutral expectation due to the binary resolution conditions and potential for non-resolution scenarios. The outcome hinges on whether the map concludes with a round total strictly above or below 24.5, with exact parity or non-completion defaulting to a 50-50 split.
The bull case assumes Map 3 will exceed 24.5 rounds, driven by high-skill teams engaging in prolonged tactical battles or overtime scenarios. A map with frequent pistol rounds, close callouts, or back-and-forth momentum could push the total rounds above the threshold, especially if the teams are evenly matched.
The bear case posits that Map 3 will conclude with fewer than 24.5 rounds, potentially due to dominant team performance, swift eliminations, or one-sided pistol rounds. Early round deficits, aggressive executes, or a lack of overtime could truncate the total rounds played, favoring the under outcome.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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