This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between ex-MANA eSports and Subtop De France in the European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group A, initially scheduled for June 28 at 6:30AM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 2 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 2 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "ex-MANA eSports" if ex-MANA eSports wins Map 2 by 4 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. ex-MANA eSports's round total on Map 2 exceeds Subtop De France's by 4 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Subtop De France". Map 2 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 2 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 2 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 2 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Key risk: Map 2 not being played to completion (e.g., technical issues, forfeit)
Calibrated 100% · raw 500% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/27/2026, 2:47:06 PM
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between ex-MANA eSports and Subtop De France in the European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group A, initially scheduled for June 28 at 6:30AM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 2 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 2 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "ex-MANA eSports" if ex-MANA eSports wins Map 2 by 4 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. ex-MANA eSports's round total on Map 2 exceeds Subtop De France's by 4 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Subtop De France". Map 2 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 2 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 2 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 2 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
55%
Signal Score
+5.0
Opportunity
3.3
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The prediction market for Map 2 handicap between ex-MANA eSports (-3.5) and Subtop De France (+3.5) is evenly split at 50%, reflecting uncertainty due to the high margin required for resolution. The market hinges on ex-MANA eSports winning by 4+ rounds in Map 2, a statistically challenging outcome.
ex-MANA eSports is favored to win Map 2 by 4+ rounds due to superior team synergy or Subtop De France's inconsistency in high-pressure scenarios. A dominant performance in early rounds could propel ex-MANA to the required margin, triggering a bullish market outcome.
Subtop De France is likely to avoid a 4+ round loss in Map 2, given the statistical rarity of such a margin in Counter-Strike matches. Even if ex-MANA performs well, Subtop De France's defensive strategies or clutch plays could limit the round deficit, resolving the market in their favor.
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Map 2 Rounds Handicap: ex-MANA eSports (-3.5) vs Subtop De France (+3.5) is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 50% while ORYN AI estimates 55%.
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