This market refers to the Counter-Strike Winners match between ex-MANA eSports and Subtop De France in the European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group A, initially scheduled for June 28 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "ex-MANA eSports" if ex-MANA eSports win Map 1 against Subtop De France. This market will resolve to "Subtop De France" if Subtop De France win Map 1 against ex-MANA eSports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Key risk: Match cancellation or delay beyond resolution window
AI updated 6/27/2026, 2:46:06 PM
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Winners match between ex-MANA eSports and Subtop De France in the European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group A, initially scheduled for June 28 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "ex-MANA eSports" if ex-MANA eSports win Map 1 against Subtop De France. This market will resolve to "Subtop De France" if Subtop De France win Map 1 against ex-MANA eSports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The market for Map 1 winner between ex-MANA eSports and Subtop De France is evenly split at 50%, reflecting no clear favorite. The lack of pre-match dominance or historical data skewing the odds suggests a highly uncertain outcome.
ex-MANA eSports could win Map 1 due to their stronger recent form in European qualifiers, higher HLTV ranking, or potential roster advantages in map control. A dominant performance in prior matches may signal confidence in this outcome.
Subtop De France may prevail as underdogs if ex-MANA eSports underperform due to fatigue, tactical mismatches, or unexpected in-game variables like map pool selection. Historical upsets in qualifier formats also support this scenario.
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Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Subtop De France - Map 1 Winner is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 50% while ORYN AI estimates 50%.
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