Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Map 3 not being completed as scheduled (forfeit, cancellation, or delay)
AI updated 6/30/2026, 6:34:45 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 50% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,086,321
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
20h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Just Players and SAW in the CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 1 at 9:45AM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 3 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 3 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "Just Players" if Just Players wins Map 3 by 4 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. Just Players's round total on Map 3 exceeds SAW's by 4 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "SAW". Map 3 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 3 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 3 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 3 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market is evenly split between Just Players (-3.5) and SAW (+3.5) winning Map 3 by a margin of 4+ rounds. The outcome depends solely on the round differential in Map 3, with a 50-50 resolution if the map is not completed as scheduled.
Just Players has a strong chance if they dominate early rounds, leveraging their map control and team synergy to secure a 4+ round lead. A high-pressure start or SAW's potential missteps could tilt the market toward Just Players.
SAW could prevail if they counter Just Players' strategies effectively, especially in late-game scenarios where round deficits narrow. External factors like player fatigue or unexpected substitutions may also favor SAW.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
Route to regulated venues when you are ready. ORYN never holds your funds.
ORYN does not hold funds or execute trades. You will be redirected to a third-party regulated venue.
No comments yet.