Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match forfeit or disqualification before Map 2 completion
Calibrated 100% · raw 4950% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 7/1/2026, 3:00:27 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 42% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
100%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
-49.5
Opportunity
24.8
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,454,029
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -4950.0¢
Entry: 96-100
—
Resolution
1h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
3 points
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Just Players and SAW in the CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 1 at 9:45AM ET. This market is decided solely by the total number of rounds played within Map 2 of this match (the combined round score of both teams on that single map), and is independent of which team wins Map 2 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "Over" if the combined number of rounds played by both teams on Map 2, including any overtime, is greater than 21.5. This market will resolve to "Under" if the combined number of rounds played is less than 21.5. If the combined number of rounds played is exactly 21.5, this market will resolve 50-50. Map 2 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to "Over" or "Under". If Map 2 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round total regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 2 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 2 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for 'Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5' is evenly poised at 50% probability, reflecting uncertainty in the total rounds played on Map 2 of the Just Players vs. SAW CS match. The neutral starting point aligns with the binary resolution criteria and market design.
A bullish scenario favors 'Over 21.5' rounds, likely driven by high-scoring teams or extended overtime due to competitive parity. Just Players and SAW have historically favored high-round maps, increasing the probability of exceeding 21 rounds.
A bearish scenario favors 'Under 21.5' rounds, typically caused by one-sided dominance or early map conclusion. If either team secures a commanding lead (e.g., 12-0), the total rounds may fall short of 21.5 before completion.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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