Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match delay or cancellation leading to 50-50 resolution
Calibrated 100% · raw 200% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 7/1/2026, 9:45:20 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 45% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
54%
ORYN Consensus
56%
Signal Score
+2.0
Opportunity
1.3
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,345,718
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 200.0¢
Entry: 50-57
—
Resolution
1h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
7 points
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Winners match between Inner Circle Academy and Misa Esports in the European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group D, initially scheduled for July 1 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Inner Circle Academy" if Inner Circle Academy win Map 1 against Misa Esports. This market will resolve to "Misa Esports" if Misa Esports win Map 1 against Inner Circle Academy. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market favors Inner Circle Academy (55.50%) as the likely winner of Map 1 against Misa Esports in the European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group D. The match's outcome hinges on team performance, map dynamics, and in-game strategies.
Inner Circle Academy benefits from stronger map control, recent form, and tactical adaptability. Their historical performance in CS:GO suggests a higher likelihood of securing Map 1 victory, especially if they exploit Misa Esports' weaknesses in early-round aggression.
Misa Esports could overcome the odds with superior individual player skill, unexpected strategies, or Inner Circle Academy's underperformance. External factors like player fatigue or technical issues may also favor Misa Esports.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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