Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match delays or cancellations due to technical/logistical issues
AI updated 7/1/2026, 7:31:09 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 45% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,551,905
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
14h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Grand final match between INFURITY Gaming and ex-MANA eSports in the United21 Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 2 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "INFURITY Gaming" if INFURITY Gaming win the match against ex-MANA eSports. This market will resolve to "ex-MANA eSports" if ex-MANA eSports win the match against INFURITY Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for INFURITY Gaming vs ex-MANA eSports in the United21 Playoffs Counter-Strike Grand Final is evenly balanced at 50%, reflecting high uncertainty or parity between the two teams. The match outcome hinges on in-game performance, team dynamics, and potential external disruptions.
INFURITY Gaming could win due to stronger recent form, strategic depth, or ex-MANA eSports' potential roster instability. A dominant map performance or clutch plays in high-pressure situations may tilt odds in their favor.
ex-MANA eSports may prevail if INFURITY Gaming struggles with map control, suffers from in-game coordination issues, or faces unexpected roster changes. Historical underperformance against INFURITY could also weigh on their chances.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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